Toronto FCvs
Atlanta United FCToronto FC 1-1 Atlanta United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 12 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toronto FC52%
Tofiko52% / 26% / 22%
Market37% / 26% / 37%
- Toronto FC
- Draw
- Atlanta United FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Toronto FC, rating it at 52.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 2 Oct 2026.
Toronto FC: LLLWD
Atlanta United FC: DWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
- Sat, 12 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.