Toronto FCvs
FC CincinnatiToronto FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, H2H & Stats
USA MLSSat, 11 Apr 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Toronto FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati40%
- Toronto FC 32%
- Draw 28%
- FC Cincinnati 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 39.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Toronto FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toronto FC: DLDDL
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-14 | Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 17:00 GMT — USA MLS.
- What is the Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.