Toronto FCvs
New England RevolutionToronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toronto FC41%
- Toronto FC 41%
- Draw 25%
- New England Revolution 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Toronto FC, rating it at 40.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Toronto FC: WDWDL
New England Revolution: WLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Toronto FC vs New England Revolution | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | New England Revolution vs Toronto FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-09-13 | New England Revolution vs Toronto FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | Toronto FC vs New England Revolution | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs New England Revolution?
- Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs New England Revolution kick off?
- Sat, 15 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.