Philadelphia Unionvs
Toronto FCPhiladelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union57%
- Philadelphia Union 57%
- Draw 24%
- Toronto FC 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 57.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Philadelphia Union: DDWLW
Toronto FC: WDWDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union | 3–3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-28 | Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.