Toronto FCvs
Philadelphia UnionToronto FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 28 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union44%
- Toronto FC 29%
- Draw 28%
- Philadelphia Union 44%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Toronto FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Toronto FC: WDDWD
Philadelphia Union: WWWDD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union | 3–3 |
| 2025-08-09 | Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-28 | Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Wed, 28 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Toronto FC vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.