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Vancouver Whitecaps FC crestVancouver Whitecaps FCvsNew York City FC crestNew York City FC

Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA MLSFri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 00 New York City FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Vancouver Whitecaps FC52%

Vancouver Whitecaps FC 52%
Draw 24%
New York City FC 24%
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC 52%
  • Draw 24%
  • New York City FC 24%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Vancouver Whitecaps FC, rating it at 52.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Vancouver Whitecaps FC won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Vancouver Whitecaps FC: DLDWW

New York City FC: DWWLL

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 0.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-10Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs New York City FC0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs New York City FC?
Tofiko's model favours Vancouver Whitecaps FC (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs New York City FC kick off?
Fri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMT — USA MLS.
What is the Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.00 goals per game.

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