Vancouver Whitecaps FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 05 Oct 2025 22:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vancouver Whitecaps FC65%
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC 65%
- Draw 19%
- San Jose Earthquakes 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vancouver Whitecaps FC, rating it at 64.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Vancouver Whitecaps FC won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 18.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Vancouver Whitecaps FC: WLWDL
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 4–1 |
| 2025-08-10 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Vancouver Whitecaps FC (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 05 Oct 2025 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.