San Jose Earthquakesvs
Vancouver Whitecaps FCSan Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 10 Aug 2025 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Vancouver Whitecaps FC49%
- San Jose Earthquakes 30%
- Draw 21%
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC 49%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Vancouver Whitecaps FC, rating it at 48.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: WDDLL
Vancouver Whitecaps FC: WLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 4–1 |
| 2025-08-10 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Vancouver Whitecaps FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC kick off?
- Sun, 10 Aug 2025 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.