Arsenal F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win63%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 63%.
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Arsenal F.C. or draw87%
- Draw or Aston Villa F.C.37%
- Arsenal F.C. or Aston Villa F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 62.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Arsenal vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 2–4 |
| 2022-08-31 | Arsenal vs Aston Villa | 2–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.