Arsenal F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.63%
- Arsenal F.C. 63%
- Draw 24%
- Aston Villa F.C. 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 62.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWWDD
Aston Villa F.C.: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Arsenal vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 2–4 |
| 2022-08-31 | Arsenal vs Aston Villa | 2–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.