Aston Villa F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.48%
- Aston Villa F.C. 24%
- Draw 28%
- Arsenal F.C. 48%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 47.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aston Villa F.C.: LWWLL
Arsenal F.C.: LWDWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | Arsenal F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-08-24 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Arsenal vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 2–4 |
| 2022-08-31 | Arsenal vs Aston Villa | 2–1 |
| 2022-03-19 | Aston Villa vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-22 | Arsenal vs Aston Villa | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.