Arsenal F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthArsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win68%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 68%.
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- AFC Bournemouth
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Arsenal F.C. or draw89%
- Draw or AFC Bournemouth32%
- Arsenal F.C. or AFC Bournemouth79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 67.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 1 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 88%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-03 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-19 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-04 | Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-30 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal | 0–4 |
| 2023-03-04 | Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.