Arsenal F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthArsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.68%
- Arsenal F.C. 68%
- Draw 21%
- AFC Bournemouth 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 67.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 1 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Arsenal F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWWDD
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 102 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 88%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-03 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-19 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-04 | Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-30 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal | 0–4 |
| 2023-03-04 | Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.