AFC Bournemouthvs
Arsenal F.C.AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win53%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 53%.
- AFC Bournemouth
- Draw
- Arsenal F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Bournemouth or draw47%
- Draw or Arsenal F.C.79%
- AFC Bournemouth or Arsenal F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 53.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 3 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 192 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 88%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2026-01-03 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-05-03 | Arsenal F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-19 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-04 | Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-30 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal | 0–4 |
| 2023-03-04 | Arsenal vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–2 |
| 2022-08-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.