Arsenal F.C. crestArsenal F.C.vsBrighton & Hove Albion F.C. crestBrighton & Hove Albion F.C.

Arsenal F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSun, 30 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Arsenal F.C. to win65%

1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 65%.

Tofiko65% / 24% / 12%
  • Arsenal F.C.
  • Draw
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Arsenal F.C. or draw88%
  • Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.35%
  • Arsenal F.C. or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 64.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 229 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW

Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 229 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-19Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.3–0
2026-03-04Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.0–1
2025-12-27Arsenal F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.2–1
2025-01-04Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.1–1
2024-08-31Arsenal F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.1–1
2024-04-06Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal0–3
2023-12-17Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion2–0
2023-05-14Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion0–3
2022-12-31Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal2–4
2022-04-09Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
Sun, 30 May 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legBrighton 3-0 Arsenal19 Sept 2026 →