Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.52%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 20%
- Draw 28%
- Arsenal F.C. 52%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 51.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WLLWL
Arsenal F.C.: WDWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-27 | Arsenal F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Arsenal F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal | 0–3 |
| 2023-12-17 | Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–0 |
| 2023-05-14 | Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–3 |
| 2022-12-31 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal | 2–4 |
| 2022-04-09 | Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 |
| 2021-10-02 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Arsenal | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 3 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.