Arsenal F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueMon, 18 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Arsenal F.C. 1–0 Burnley F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.76%
- Arsenal F.C. 76%
- Draw 17%
- Burnley F.C. 7%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 76.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 16.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Arsenal F.C.: WDWWW
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Burnley F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-02-17 | Burnley vs Arsenal | 0–5 |
| 2023-11-11 | Arsenal vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Arsenal vs Burnley | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-18 | Burnley vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2021-03-06 | Burnley vs Arsenal | 1–1 |
| 2020-12-13 | Arsenal vs Burnley | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Mon, 18 May 2026 19:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.