Arsenal F.C.vs
Burnley F.C.Arsenal F.C. 1-0 Burnley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueMon, 18 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.76%
Tofiko76% / 17% / 7%
Market90% / 7% / 3%
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Burnley F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 76.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 8, with 2 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Arsenal F.C.: LWWWW
Burnley F.C.: DLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Burnley F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-02-17 | Burnley vs Arsenal | 0–5 |
| 2023-11-11 | Arsenal vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Arsenal vs Burnley | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-18 | Burnley vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2021-03-06 | Burnley vs Arsenal | 1–1 |
| 2020-12-13 | Arsenal vs Burnley | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (76% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C. kick off?
- Mon, 18 May 2026 19:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Burnley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.