Arsenal F.C.vs
Everton F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Everton F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Arsenal F.C.68%
- Arsenal F.C. 68%
- Draw 22%
- Everton F.C. 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 68.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Arsenal F.C.: WDWWW
Everton F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Arsenal F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Everton F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Everton F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Arsenal F.C. vs Everton F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-05-19 | Arsenal vs Everton | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-17 | Everton vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2023-03-01 | Arsenal vs Everton | 4–0 |
| 2023-02-04 | Everton vs Arsenal | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-22 | Arsenal vs Everton | 5–1 |
| 2021-12-06 | Everton vs Arsenal | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Everton F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Everton F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Everton F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.