Liverpool F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.62%
- Liverpool F.C. 62%
- Draw 23%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 62.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Liverpool F.C.: WWDLD
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WLLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Liverpool F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-11-02 | Liverpool F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2023-10-08 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-14 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool | 3–0 |
| 2022-10-01 | Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–3 |
| 2022-03-12 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Liverpool | 0–2 |
| 2021-10-30 | Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.