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Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chelsea F.C.52%

  • Chelsea F.C. 52%
  • Draw 27%
  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 21%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 52.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Chelsea F.C.: WWWWD

Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: LWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-01Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.1–2
2026-05-19Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.2–1
2025-11-01Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.0–1
2025-04-03Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.1–0
2024-12-08Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.3–4
2024-05-02Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–0
2023-11-06Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC1–4
2023-02-26Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC2–0
2022-08-14Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–2
2022-01-23Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. kick off?
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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