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Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chelsea F.C.52%

Tofiko52% / 27% / 21%
  • Chelsea F.C.
  • Draw
  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 52.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 31 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW

Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: LLDDL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 31 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-01Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.1–2
2026-05-19Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.2–1
2025-11-01Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.0–1
2025-04-03Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.1–0
2024-12-08Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.3–4
2024-05-02Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–0
2023-11-06Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC1–4
2023-02-26Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC2–0
2022-08-14Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–2
2022-01-23Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. kick off?
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureTottenham vs Chelsea8 May 2027 →