Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.52%
- Chelsea F.C. 52%
- Draw 27%
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. 21%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 52.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Tottenham Hotspur F.C.'s 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: WDWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-03 | Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–4 |
| 2024-05-02 | Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-06 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC | 1–4 |
| 2023-02-26 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Chelsea FC | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-14 | Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–2 |
| 2022-01-23 | Chelsea FC vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.