Aston Villa F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win53%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 53%.
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aston Villa F.C. or draw47%
- Draw or Manchester City F.C.78%
- Aston Villa F.C. or Manchester City F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 11 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-22 | Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-03 | Manchester City vs Aston Villa | 4–1 |
| 2023-12-06 | Aston Villa vs Manchester City | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-12 | Manchester City vs Aston Villa | 3–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Aston Villa vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Manchester City vs Aston Villa | 3–2 |
| 2021-12-01 | Aston Villa vs Manchester City | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 11:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.