Aston Villa F.C.vs
Manchester City F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester City F.C.53%
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 31 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: WWLWD
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 31 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-22 | Manchester City F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-04-03 | Manchester City vs Aston Villa | 4–1 |
| 2023-12-06 | Aston Villa vs Manchester City | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-12 | Manchester City vs Aston Villa | 3–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Aston Villa vs Manchester City | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-22 | Manchester City vs Aston Villa | 3–2 |
| 2021-12-01 | Aston Villa vs Manchester City | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 11:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.