Manchester United F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthManchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester United F.C. to win54%
1X2: model backs Manchester United F.C. at 54%.
- Manchester United F.C.
- Draw
- AFC Bournemouth
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester United F.C. or draw80%
- Draw or AFC Bournemouth46%
- Manchester United F.C. or AFC Bournemouth74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 53.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Manchester United F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 12 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-15 | Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–4 |
| 2025-04-27 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-22 | Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-13 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–3 |
| 2023-05-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-03 | Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.