Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.54%
- Manchester United F.C. 54%
- Draw 26%
- AFC Bournemouth 20%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 53.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Manchester United F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Manchester United F.C.: WWLWW
AFC Bournemouth: WWDDW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-15 | Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–4 |
| 2025-04-27 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-22 | Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-13 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–3 |
| 2023-05-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-03 | Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.