Arsenal F.C. crestArsenal F.C.vsManchester United F.C. crestManchester United F.C.

Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Arsenal F.C.61%

Tofiko61% / 25% / 14%
  • Arsenal F.C.
  • Draw
  • Manchester United F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 61.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 87 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Arsenal F.C.: LWWWW

Manchester United F.C.: DLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 87 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-25Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.2–3
2025-08-17Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.0–1
2025-03-09Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.1–1
2024-12-04Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.2–0
2024-05-12Manchester United vs Arsenal0–1
2023-09-03Arsenal vs Manchester United3–1
2023-01-22Arsenal vs Manchester United3–2
2022-09-04Manchester United vs Arsenal3–1
2022-04-23Arsenal vs Manchester United3–1
2021-12-02Manchester United vs Arsenal3–2

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FAQ

Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureManchester United vs Arsenal27 Feb 2027 →