Arsenal F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win61%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 61%.
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Arsenal F.C. or draw86%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.39%
- Arsenal F.C. or Manchester United F.C.75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 61.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-08-17 | Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-04 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Manchester United vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Arsenal vs Manchester United | 3–1 |
| 2023-01-22 | Arsenal vs Manchester United | 3–2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Manchester United vs Arsenal | 3–1 |
| 2022-04-23 | Arsenal vs Manchester United | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-02 | Manchester United vs Arsenal | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.