Manchester United F.C.vs
Arsenal F.C.Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 27 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. or draw73%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 44% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Manchester United F.C.
- Draw
- Arsenal F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Manchester United F.C. or draw56%
- Draw or Arsenal F.C.73%
- Manchester United F.C. or Arsenal F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 44.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Manchester United F.C. won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 136 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 136 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-08-17 | Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-04 | Arsenal F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Manchester United vs Arsenal | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-03 | Arsenal vs Manchester United | 3–1 |
| 2023-01-22 | Arsenal vs Manchester United | 3–2 |
| 2022-09-04 | Manchester United vs Arsenal | 3–1 |
| 2022-04-23 | Arsenal vs Manchester United | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-02 | Manchester United vs Arsenal | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 27 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Manchester United F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.