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Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Arsenal F.C. to win65%

1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 65%.

Tofiko65% / 23% / 12%
  • Arsenal F.C.
  • Draw
  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Arsenal F.C. or draw88%
  • Draw or Tottenham Hotspur F.C.35%
  • Arsenal F.C. or Tottenham Hotspur F.C.77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.561%
  • Under 2.539%

Both teams to score

  • Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Tottenham Hotspur F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 65.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW

Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: DLLDD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.60Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-22Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.1–4
2025-11-23Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.4–1
2025-01-15Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.2–1
2024-09-15Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.0–1
2024-04-28Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal2–3
2023-09-24Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur2–2
2023-01-15Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal0–2
2022-10-01Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur3–1
2022-05-12Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal3–0
2021-09-26Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. kick off?
Sat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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