Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win65%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 65%.
- Arsenal F.C.
- Draw
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Arsenal F.C. or draw88%
- Draw or Tottenham Hotspur F.C.35%
- Arsenal F.C. or Tottenham Hotspur F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 65.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Arsenal F.C. won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: DLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2025-11-23 | Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-01-15 | Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal | 2–3 |
| 2023-09-24 | Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-15 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-12 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal | 3–0 |
| 2021-09-26 | Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.