Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Arsenal F.C. to win54%
1X2: model backs Arsenal F.C. at 54%.
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C.
- Draw
- Arsenal F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or draw46%
- Draw or Arsenal F.C.81%
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C. or Arsenal F.C.74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- Tottenham Hotspur F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Arsenal F.C., last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 54.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Tottenham Hotspur F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Tottenham Hotspur F.C.: DLLDD
Arsenal F.C.: WWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2025-11-23 | Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2025-01-15 | Arsenal F.C. vs Tottenham Hotspur F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal | 2–3 |
| 2023-09-24 | Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-15 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-01 | Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-12 | Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal | 3–0 |
| 2021-09-26 | Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Tottenham Hotspur F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.