Aston Villa F.C.vs
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. or draw78%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aston Villa F.C. or draw78%
- Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.52%
- Aston Villa F.C. or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 48.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–4 |
| 2025-04-02 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2024-12-30 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-05 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-30 | Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 6–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Aston Villa vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-13 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa | 1–2 |
| 2022-02-26 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.