Aston Villa F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 27 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.42%
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aston Villa F.C. or draw72%
- Draw or Chelsea F.C.58%
- Aston Villa F.C. or Chelsea F.C.70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 42.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 136 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 136 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-24 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-16 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-26 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2021-09-11 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 27 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.