Aston Villa F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 27 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.42%
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 42.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Aston Villa F.C.'s 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 157 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: WWLWD
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 157 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-24 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-16 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-26 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2021-09-11 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 27 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.