Chelsea F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.45%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Aston Villa F.C.'s 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 87 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Aston Villa F.C.: WWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 87 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-24 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-16 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-26 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2021-09-11 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.