Chelsea F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Chelsea F.C. or draw74%
1X2: model backs Chelsea F.C. at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Chelsea F.C. or draw74%
- Draw or Aston Villa F.C.55%
- Chelsea F.C. or Aston Villa F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.553%
- Under 2.547%
Both teams to score
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 66 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-24 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-16 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-26 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2021-09-11 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.