Chelsea F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.45%
- Chelsea F.C. 45%
- Draw 29%
- Aston Villa F.C. 26%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 45.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 1–4 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2025-02-22 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-01 | Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-04-27 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-24 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2023-04-01 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-16 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 0–2 |
| 2021-12-26 | Aston Villa vs Chelsea FC | 1–3 |
| 2021-09-11 | Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.