Aston Villa F.C.vs
Crystal Palace F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. to win54%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 54%.
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Crystal Palace F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aston Villa F.C. or draw83%
- Draw or Crystal Palace F.C.46%
- Aston Villa F.C. or Crystal Palace F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 54.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-02-25 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-19 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 5–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-15 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-27 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.