Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.54%
- Aston Villa F.C. 54%
- Draw 28%
- Crystal Palace F.C. 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 54.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Crystal Palace F.C.: WDLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-02-25 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-19 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 5–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-15 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-27 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.