Crystal Palace F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. or draw69%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 38% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Crystal Palace F.C.
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Crystal Palace F.C. or draw62%
- Draw or Aston Villa F.C.69%
- Crystal Palace F.C. or Aston Villa F.C.69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.548%
- Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
- Crystal Palace F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 37.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Crystal Palace F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Crystal Palace F.C.: WLDWL
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 199 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 0–3 |
| 2025-02-25 | Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Crystal Palace F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-05-19 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 5–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-04 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-20 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 3–1 |
| 2022-05-15 | Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-27 | Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 01 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Crystal Palace F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.