Aston Villa F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 26 Dec 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. to win60%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 60%.
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Leeds United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aston Villa F.C. or draw84%
- Draw or Leeds United F.C.40%
- Aston Villa F.C. or Leeds United F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 60.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 73 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Leeds United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2023-01-13 | Aston Villa vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-02 | Leeds United vs Aston Villa | 0–0 |
| 2022-03-10 | Leeds United vs Aston Villa | 0–3 |
| 2022-02-09 | Aston Villa vs Leeds United | 3–3 |
| 2021-02-27 | Leeds United vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2020-10-23 | Aston Villa vs Leeds United | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 26 Dec 2026 12:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.