Leeds United F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Leeds United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 20 Feb 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. or draw70%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Leeds United F.C.
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Leeds United F.C. or draw57%
- Draw or Aston Villa F.C.70%
- Leeds United F.C. or Aston Villa F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- Leeds United F.C., last 10 home games3 of 10
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 42.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Leeds United F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 129 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Leeds United F.C.: LDWLD
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 129 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Leeds United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2023-01-13 | Aston Villa vs Leeds United | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-02 | Leeds United vs Aston Villa | 0–0 |
| 2022-03-10 | Leeds United vs Aston Villa | 0–3 |
| 2022-02-09 | Aston Villa vs Leeds United | 3–3 |
| 2021-02-27 | Leeds United vs Aston Villa | 0–1 |
| 2020-10-23 | Aston Villa vs Leeds United | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Leeds United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Leeds United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 20 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Leeds United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.