Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueWed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.40%
- Aston Villa F.C. 33%
- Draw 27%
- Liverpool F.C. 40%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 40.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
Liverpool F.C.: WWDLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-02-19 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-13 | Aston Villa vs Liverpool | 3–3 |
| 2023-09-03 | Liverpool vs Aston Villa | 3–0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Liverpool vs Aston Villa | 1–1 |
| 2022-12-26 | Aston Villa vs Liverpool | 1–3 |
| 2022-05-10 | Aston Villa vs Liverpool | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-11 | Liverpool vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.