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Aston Villa F.C. crestAston Villa F.C.vsLiverpool F.C. crestLiverpool F.C.

Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

English Premier LeagueWed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Liverpool F.C.40%

Aston Villa F.C. 33%
Draw 27%
Liverpool F.C. 40%
  • Aston Villa F.C. 33%
  • Draw 27%
  • Liverpool F.C. 40%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 40.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW

Liverpool F.C.: WWDLD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-15Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.4–2
2025-11-01Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.2–0
2025-02-19Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.2–2
2024-11-09Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.2–0
2024-05-13Aston Villa vs Liverpool3–3
2023-09-03Liverpool vs Aston Villa3–0
2023-05-20Liverpool vs Aston Villa1–1
2022-12-26Aston Villa vs Liverpool1–3
2022-05-10Aston Villa vs Liverpool1–2
2021-12-11Liverpool vs Aston Villa1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
Wed, 30 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

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