Liverpool F.C.vs
Aston Villa F.C.Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 03 Mar 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Liverpool F.C. to win59%
1X2: model backs Liverpool F.C. at 59%.
- Liverpool F.C.
- Draw
- Aston Villa F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Liverpool F.C. or draw82%
- Draw or Aston Villa F.C.42%
- Liverpool F.C. or Aston Villa F.C.77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- Liverpool F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Liverpool F.C., rating it at 58.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Liverpool F.C. won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Aston Villa F.C.'s last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Liverpool F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 141 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Liverpool F.C.: LWWDW
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 141 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-02-19 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Liverpool F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-05-13 | Aston Villa vs Liverpool | 3–3 |
| 2023-09-03 | Liverpool vs Aston Villa | 3–0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Liverpool vs Aston Villa | 1–1 |
| 2022-12-26 | Aston Villa vs Liverpool | 1–3 |
| 2022-05-10 | Aston Villa vs Liverpool | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-11 | Liverpool vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 03 Mar 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Liverpool F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.