Aston Villa F.C.vs
Newcastle United F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 15 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Aston Villa F.C. or draw76%
1X2: model backs Aston Villa F.C. at 48% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Aston Villa F.C.
- Draw
- Newcastle United F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Aston Villa F.C. or draw76%
- Draw or Newcastle United F.C.52%
- Aston Villa F.C. or Newcastle United F.C.72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- Aston Villa F.C., last 10 home games6 of 10
- Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 48.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 214 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Aston Villa F.C.: DWWWL
Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 214 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. | 4–1 |
| 2024-12-26 | Newcastle United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-30 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 1–3 |
| 2023-08-12 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 5–1 |
| 2023-04-15 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 3–0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 4–0 |
| 2022-02-13 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | 1–0 |
| 2021-08-21 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 15 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.