Aston Villa F.C.vs
Nottingham Forest F.C.Aston Villa F.C. 1-2 Nottingham Forest F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.54%
- Aston Villa F.C. 54%
- Draw 23%
- Nottingham Forest F.C. 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 53.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
Aston Villa F.C.: LWDLL
Nottingham Forest F.C.: WDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2026-05-07 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 4–0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Aston Villa F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Nottingham Forest F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-24 | Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest | 4–2 |
| 2023-11-05 | Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa | 2–0 |
| 2023-04-08 | Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs Nottingham Forest F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.