Aston Villa F.C.vs
West Ham United F.C.Aston Villa F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSun, 22 Mar 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Aston Villa F.C. 2–0 West Ham United F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Aston Villa F.C.55%
- Aston Villa F.C. 55%
- Draw 23%
- West Ham United F.C. 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Aston Villa F.C., rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Aston Villa F.C. won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Aston Villa F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. West Ham United F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Aston Villa F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Aston Villa F.C.: WLLWW
West Ham United F.C.: DDWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Aston Villa F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | West Ham United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 2–3 |
| 2025-01-26 | Aston Villa F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-17 | West Ham United F.C. vs Aston Villa F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-17 | West Ham United vs Aston Villa | 1–1 |
| 2023-10-22 | Aston Villa vs West Ham United | 4–1 |
| 2023-03-12 | West Ham United vs Aston Villa | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-28 | Aston Villa vs West Ham United | 0–1 |
| 2022-03-13 | West Ham United vs Aston Villa | 2–1 |
| 2021-10-31 | Aston Villa vs West Ham United | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Aston Villa F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Aston Villa F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 22 Mar 2026 14:15 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Aston Villa F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.