AFC Bournemouth crestAFC BournemouthvsBrentford F.C. crestBrentford F.C.

AFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AFC Bournemouth45%

  • AFC Bournemouth 45%
  • Draw 23%
  • Brentford F.C. 32%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 44.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and AFC Bournemouth won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

AFC Bournemouth: DWDDL

Brentford F.C.: DDDWW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 9Games
  • 2.89Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C.2–2
2026-03-03AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C.0–0
2025-12-27Brentford F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth4–1
2025-03-15AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C.1–2
2024-11-09Brentford F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth3–2
2024-05-11AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford1–2
2023-09-02Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth2–2
2023-01-14Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth2–0
2022-10-01AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C. kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 3 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.89 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureBrentford vs Bournemouth20 Mar 2027 →