AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Bournemouth44%
- AFC Bournemouth 44%
- Draw 29%
- Brentford F.C. 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 43.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Brentford F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth: WWWDD
Brentford F.C.: DDLWL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Brentford F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Brentford F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–2 |
| 2024-05-11 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford | 1–2 |
| 2023-09-02 | Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-14 | Brentford vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–0 |
| 2022-10-01 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Brentford F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.