AFC Bournemouthvs
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AFC Bournemouth or draw72%
1X2: model backs AFC Bournemouth at 43% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- AFC Bournemouth
- Draw
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Bournemouth or draw72%
- Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.57%
- AFC Bournemouth or Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 42.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 49 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-25 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-28 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2023-04-04 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.