AFC Bournemouth crestAFC BournemouthvsBrighton & Hove Albion F.C. crestBrighton & Hove Albion F.C.

AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueWed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AFC Bournemouth43%

  • AFC Bournemouth 43%
  • Draw 29%
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 28%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 42.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 92 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW

Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: LWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 92 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 8Games
  • 2.63Avg goals
  • 63%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-19Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth1–1
2025-09-13AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.2–1
2025-02-25Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth2–1
2024-11-23AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.1–2
2024-04-28AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion3–0
2023-09-24Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth3–1
2023-04-04AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion0–2
2023-02-04Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.

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