Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthBrighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or draw74%
1X2: model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
- Draw
- AFC Bournemouth
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or draw74%
- Draw or AFC Bournemouth54%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or AFC Bournemouth72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.555%
- Under 2.545%
Both teams to score
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 away games9 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 45.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won 2 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 84 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 84 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.63Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-25 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–2 |
| 2024-04-28 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-24 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2023-04-04 | AFC Bournemouth vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Wed, 06 Jan 2027 20:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.63 goals per game.