AFC Bournemouthvs
Liverpool F.C.AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 20 Sep 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Liverpool F.C.46%
- AFC Bournemouth 29%
- Draw 24%
- Liverpool F.C. 46%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Liverpool F.C., rating it at 46.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 2 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: DLLDW
Liverpool F.C.: DDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 4.25Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-15 | Liverpool F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–2 |
| 2025-02-01 | AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Liverpool F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
| 2024-01-21 | AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool | 0–4 |
| 2023-08-19 | Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2023-03-11 | AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool | 1–0 |
| 2022-08-27 | Liverpool vs AFC Bournemouth | 9–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Liverpool F.C. (46% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.25 goals per game.