AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Manchester City F.C. to win58%
1X2: model backs Manchester City F.C. at 58%.
- AFC Bournemouth
- Draw
- Manchester City F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Bournemouth or draw42%
- Draw or Manchester City F.C.80%
- AFC Bournemouth or Manchester City F.C.78%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Manchester City F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester City F.C., rating it at 58.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 1 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Manchester City F.C.: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 178 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 78%Both scored
- 78%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Manchester City F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-19 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | Manchester City F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-20 | Manchester City F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–1 |
| 2024-11-02 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-24 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City | 0–1 |
| 2023-11-04 | Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth | 6–1 |
| 2023-02-25 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City | 1–4 |
| 2022-08-13 | Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester City F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 10 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.