AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Bournemouth36%
- AFC Bournemouth
- Draw
- Manchester United F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Bournemouth or draw65%
- Draw or Manchester United F.C.64%
- AFC Bournemouth or Manchester United F.C.71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 36.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 2 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW
Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-15 | Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 4–4 |
| 2025-04-27 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-22 | Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-13 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth | 0–3 |
| 2023-05-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United | 0–1 |
| 2023-01-03 | Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.