AFC Bournemouth crestAFC BournemouthvsManchester United F.C. crestManchester United F.C.

AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AFC Bournemouth36%

Tofiko36% / 29% / 35%
  • AFC Bournemouth
  • Draw
  • Manchester United F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AFC Bournemouth or draw65%
  • Draw or Manchester United F.C.64%
  • AFC Bournemouth or Manchester United F.C.71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.556%
  • Under 2.544%

Both teams to score

  • AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Manchester United F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 36.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 2 of 8, with 4 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW

Manchester United F.C.: LDDLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 8Games
  • 3.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-20AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C.2–2
2025-12-15Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth4–4
2025-04-27AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C.1–1
2024-12-22Manchester United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth0–3
2024-04-13AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United2–2
2023-12-09Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth0–3
2023-05-20AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United0–1
2023-01-03Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth3–0

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FAQ

Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 08 May 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureManchester United vs Bournemouth25 Oct 2026 →