AFC Bournemouth crestAFC BournemouthvsNewcastle United F.C. crestNewcastle United F.C.

AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueSat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AFC Bournemouth42%

Tofiko42% / 28% / 30%
  • AFC Bournemouth
  • Draw
  • Newcastle United F.C.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AFC Bournemouth or draw70%
  • Draw or Newcastle United F.C.58%
  • AFC Bournemouth or Newcastle United F.C.72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.559%
  • Under 2.541%

Both teams to score

  • AFC Bournemouth, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Newcastle United F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AFC Bournemouth, rating it at 42.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and AFC Bournemouth won 3 of 9, with 6 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 150 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AFC Bournemouth: LLWDW

Newcastle United F.C.: LWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 150 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 78%Both scored
  • 44%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth2–2
2026-04-18Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth1–2
2025-09-21AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C.0–0
2025-01-18Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth1–4
2024-08-25AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C.1–1
2024-02-17Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth2–2
2023-11-11AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle2–0
2023-02-11AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle1–1
2022-09-17Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours AFC Bournemouth (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C. kick off?
Sat, 13 Mar 2027 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 1 home wins, 6 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNewcastle 2-2 Bournemouth5 Sept 2026 →