Newcastle United F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthNewcastle United F.C. 2-2 AFC Bournemouth — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Sep 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.49%
- Newcastle United F.C. 49%
- Draw 22%
- AFC Bournemouth 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 49.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
Newcastle United F.C.: WDWWD
AFC Bournemouth: DWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 9Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 78%Both scored
- 44%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–4 |
| 2024-08-25 | AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-17 | Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
| 2023-02-11 | AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 11:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 1 home wins, 6 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.