Newcastle United F.C.vs
AFC BournemouthNewcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newcastle United F.C.47%
- Newcastle United F.C. 47%
- Draw 26%
- AFC Bournemouth 26%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newcastle United F.C., rating it at 47.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Newcastle United F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AFC Bournemouth's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Newcastle United F.C.'s 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AFC Bournemouth's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Newcastle United F.C.: LDWLW
AFC Bournemouth: WWWDD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–4 |
| 2024-08-25 | AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-02-17 | Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth | 2–2 |
| 2023-11-11 | AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle | 2–0 |
| 2023-02-11 | AFC Bournemouth vs Newcastle | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Newcastle vs AFC Bournemouth | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth?
- Tofiko's model favours Newcastle United F.C. (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Newcastle United F.C. vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.