Burnley F.C.vs
Brentford F.C.Burnley F.C. 3-4 Brentford F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brentford F.C.51%
- Burnley F.C. 26%
- Draw 24%
- Brentford F.C. 51%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Brentford F.C., rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Burnley F.C. won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Brentford F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Burnley F.C.'s 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Brentford F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Burnley F.C.: LDLDD
Brentford F.C.: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 6Games
- 3.83Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 83%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Burnley F.C. vs Brentford F.C. | 3–4 |
| 2025-11-29 | Brentford F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Burnley vs Brentford | 2–1 |
| 2023-10-21 | Brentford vs Burnley | 3–0 |
| 2022-03-12 | Brentford vs Burnley | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Burnley vs Brentford | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Brentford F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brentford F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Brentford F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs Brentford F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.83 goals per game.