Brentford F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Brentford F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brentford F.C.38%
- Brentford F.C. 38%
- Draw 29%
- Chelsea F.C. 32%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Brentford F.C., rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Brentford F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Brentford F.C.: DDLWL
Chelsea F.C.: LWLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brentford F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Brentford F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Brentford F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brentford F.C. | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-02 | Brentford vs Chelsea FC | 2–2 |
| 2023-10-28 | Chelsea FC vs Brentford | 0–2 |
| 2023-04-26 | Chelsea FC vs Brentford | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-19 | Brentford vs Chelsea FC | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-02 | Chelsea FC vs Brentford | 1–4 |
| 2021-10-16 | Brentford vs Chelsea FC | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Brentford F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brentford F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Brentford F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brentford F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.