Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.38%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
- Draw
- Chelsea F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or draw69%
- Draw or Chelsea F.C.62%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. or Chelsea F.C.70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., last 10 home games2 of 10
- Chelsea F.C., last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (370 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 38.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.'s 5 produced 17, at 3.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWWD
Chelsea F.C.: WLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 185 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.10Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-02-14 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2024-05-15 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-01-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.10 goals per game.