Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.vs
Chelsea F.C.Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.38%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 38%
- Draw 30%
- Chelsea F.C. 31%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Chelsea F.C.'s last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.'s 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: LWWDW
Chelsea F.C.: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 228 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.10Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-02-14 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2024-05-15 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-01-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 17 Apr 2027 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.10 goals per game.