Chelsea F.C.vs
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.50%
- Chelsea F.C. 50%
- Draw 28%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 22%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 49.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Chelsea F.C.: LLWLW
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WLLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.60Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-02-14 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2024-05-15 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-01-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-29 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.60 goals per game.