Chelsea F.C.vs
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.Chelsea F.C. 4-3 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueSun, 30 Aug 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chelsea F.C.50%
Tofiko50% / 23% / 27%
Market52% / 24% / 24%
- Chelsea F.C.
- Draw
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chelsea F.C., rating it at 50.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Chelsea F.C. won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Chelsea F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Chelsea F.C.: LDWLW
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WWWDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 4.10Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-21 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-02-14 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Chelsea F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 4–2 |
| 2024-05-15 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-03 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Chelsea FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 4–1 |
| 2022-01-18 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea FC | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Chelsea F.C. (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 13:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Chelsea F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.10 goals per game.