Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.vs
Leeds United F.C.Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.56%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 56%
- Draw 26%
- Leeds United F.C. 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 56.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. won 1 of 8, with 3 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WLLWL
Leeds United F.C.: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.75Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Leeds United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. | 3–0 |
| 2023-03-11 | Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 2–2 |
| 2022-08-27 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United | 1–0 |
| 2022-05-15 | Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
| 2021-11-27 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United | 0–0 |
| 2021-05-01 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United | 2–0 |
| 2021-01-16 | Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Leeds United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Leeds United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.