West Ham United F.C. 2-2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueTue, 30 Dec 2025 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs West Ham United F.C.38%
- West Ham United F.C. 38%
- Draw 24%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks West Ham United F.C., rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and West Ham United F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- West Ham United F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
West Ham United F.C.: WDWL
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: LWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-26 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs West Ham United F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-12-21 | West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-02 | West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United | 1–3 |
| 2023-03-04 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United | 4–0 |
| 2022-08-21 | West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-22 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United | 3–1 |
| 2021-12-01 | West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours West Ham United F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 30 Dec 2025 19:30 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.