Burnley F.C.vs
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
English Premier LeagueSat, 11 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Burnley F.C. 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.51%
- Burnley F.C. 25%
- Draw 24%
- Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 51%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Brighton & Hove Albion F.C., rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Burnley F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Burnley F.C.: DLLDL
Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: WLLWL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2026-01-03 | Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2024-04-13 | Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley | 1–1 |
| 2022-02-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley | 0–3 |
| 2021-08-14 | Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–2 |
| 2021-02-06 | Burnley vs Brighton & Hove Albion | 1–1 |
| 2020-11-06 | Brighton & Hove Albion vs Burnley | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 1 home wins, 4 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.